The Prevalence Trend of Esophageal in Cixian of Hebei Province and Linxian of Henan Province

ObjectiveTo analyze and predict the trend of the esophageal incidence and mortality rate in Cixian and Linxian. Methods Use Grey Mode(1,1)to predict the incidence and mortality rate of esophageal of the two county. Results There is a slight decline during the ten years from 1988 to 1997. Predicting the male incidence will be 9.96/10,000 and female will be 6.67/10,000, the mortality rate of male will be 6.955/10,000, female 4.477/10,100 in 2002. Conclusion The incidence and mortality rate of esophageal will ...