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新辅助放化疗联合免疫治疗的疗效预测与器官保留策略

Efficacy prediction and organ preservation strategies for neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy

  • 摘要: 局部进展期直肠癌(LARC)的传统新辅助放化疗(nCRT)联合全直肠系膜切除术(TME)模式,病理完全缓解(pCR)率仅为15%~20%,且根治性手术严重影响患者生活质量。近年来,以PD-1单抗为代表的免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)与放化疗的联合应用,为错配修复完整/微卫星稳定(pMMR/MSS)型直肠癌带来了突破性进展。多项前瞻性临床研究(包括本团队的POLARSTAR试验和NECTAR研究)证实,联合策略可将pCR率提升至30%~40%,且pCR患者的3年无病生存率(DFS)可达100%。在此基础上,如何精准预测疗效并安全实施器官保留策略,成为当前研究的核心命题。本文从多维度疗效预测体系(涵盖多参数MRI与影像组学、病理TRG分级、NAR评分、肠道菌群SPEED模型及循环肿瘤DNA/微小残留病灶检测)和器官保留策略(观察等待、局部切除与TME的适应证选择)两个维度进行述评,并展望精准预测与器官保留深度融合的未来方向,旨在推动直肠癌治疗向"治愈与功能并重"的新范式演进。

     

    Abstract: The conventional neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) combined with total mesorectal excision (TME) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) yields a pathological complete response (pCR) rate of only 15%–20%, and radical surgery severely impairs patients’ quality of life. In recent years, the combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), represented by PD-1 monoclonal antibodies, with chemoradiotherapy has achieved breakthrough progress in proficient mismatch repair/microsatellite stable (pMMR/MSS) rectal cancer. Multiple prospective clinical studies, including our team’s POLARSTAR trial and NECTAR study, have confirmed that this combined strategy can increase the pCR rate to 30%–40%, and the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate among patients achieving pCR can reach 100%. On this basis, how to accurately predict treatment response and safely implement organ preservation strategies has become a core issue in current research. This review discusses two dimensions: a multidimensional efficacy prediction system (including multiparametric MRI and radiomics, pathological TRG grading, NAR score, gut microbiota SPEED model, and circulating tumor DNA/minimal residual disease detection) and organ preservation strategies (watch-and-wait, local excision, and indications for TME). It also looks forward to the future direction of deep integration between precision prediction and organ preservation, aiming to promote the evolution of rectal cancer treatment toward a new paradigm that emphasizes both cure and function preservation.

     

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