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基于CT影像组学构建宫颈癌单纯放疗后急性血液毒性的预测模型

Prediction Model of Acute Hematologic Toxicity in Patients with Cervical Cancer After Definitive Radiotherapy Based on CT Radiomics

  • 摘要:
    目的 基于放疗前CT影像组学特征,联合临床及剂量学特征,构建预测宫颈癌患者单纯放疗后发生急性血液毒性(HT)的模型。
    方法 回顾性分析接受单纯放疗的82例宫颈癌患者数据,按8:2比例分为训练集和测试集,以发生≥2级HT为研究终点。收集临床特征和骨盆剂量学特征,从整体骨盆结构中提取1046个影像组学特征。对影像组学特征进行Z-score标准化、Spearman相关分析(>0.9)及LASSO回归筛选特征,利用五折交叉验证的KNN机器学习方法构建Radiomics模型。针对56个临床和剂量学特征,采用单因素及多因素分析筛选独立预测因子,构建Clinical-dose模型。进一步联合上述两类特征,构建Hybrid模型。通过受试者工作特性曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)、决策曲线及校准曲线进行综合评估。
    结果 共有40例(48.8%)患者发生≥2级HT。单因素及多因素分析显示,腰骶椎的V20与≥2级HT的发生显著相关(P<0.05)。Radiomics、Clinical-dose和Hybrid模型在训练集中的AUC分别为0.802、0.750和0.861;测试集的AUC分别为0.703、0.633和0.781。
    结论 宫颈癌放疗前CT影像组学联合剂量学特征可用于预测急性HT的发生,有望为临床早期干预提供参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To develop a predictive model of acute hematologic toxicity (HT) based on preradiotherapy CT radiomic features combined with clinical and dosimetric characteristics for patients with cervical cancer undergoing definitive radiotherapy.
    Methods Data from 82 patients with cervical cancer who received definitive radiotherapy were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into training and test sets at an 8:2 ratio, with grade ≥2 HT as the study endpoint. Clinical characteristics and dosimetric parameters of pelvic regions were collected, and 1 046 radiomic features were extracted from the overall pelvic structure using PyRadiomics. Radiomic features were processed using Z-score normalization, Spearman correlation analysis (>0.9), and LASSO regression for feature selection. A radiomics model was constructed using K-nearest neighbor machine learning with fivefold cross-validation. For 56 clinical and dosimetric features, independent predictors were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses to establish a clinical-dose model. A hybrid model was further constructed by combining the two sets of features. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), decision curve analysis, and calibration curves.
    Results Forty patients (48.8%) developed grade ≥2 HT. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that V20 of the lumbosacral spine was significantly associated with grade ≥2 HT (P<0.05). The AUC values for the radiomics, clinical-dose, and hybrid models were 0.802, 0.750, and 0.861 in the training set, respectively, and 0.703, 0.633, and 0.781 in the test set, respectively.
    Conclusion Preradiotherapy CT radiomic features combined with dosimetric characteristics can predict the occurrence of acute hematologic toxicity in patients with cervical cancer, potentially facilitating early clinical intervention.

     

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